Finland vs Malta Predictions – World Cup Qualifier Preview

On Nov 13, 2025

Finland vs Malta Match Preview

Finland’s shot at keeping their World Cup play-off hopes alive comes down to this final Group G game against Malta. The Finns are three points behind Poland, who also have a match in hand — meaning nothing less than a win will do for Finland if they want to stay in contention.

Malta, on the other hand, have struggled massively throughout the qualifiers. They sit bottom of the table with only two points and just one goal scored in six matches. It’s been a tough campaign for them, and facing a desperate Finnish side on home soil might not be the relief they’re hoping for.

The last time these two teams met, Finland edged a narrow 1-0 away win, and they’ll be confident of doing something similar here — especially with Malta’s scoring struggles.

Use of Statistics & Team Form

The stats tell a clear story. Malta have managed to find the back of the net only once in six qualifying games. That single goal came in a 1-1 draw with Lithuania — their only real positive result in the group. Against stronger opponents, they’ve simply been outclassed, losing heavily to the Netherlands by a combined 12-0 across two matches.

Finland, meanwhile, have been solid but not exactly explosive in attack. They haven’t scored more than twice in any of their last 19 games, a run dating back to a 4-0 win over Northern Ireland in 2023. So, while they’re favorites, fans shouldn’t expect a goal fest.

Still, given Malta’s toothless attack and Finland’s disciplined defense, it’s easy to see why a Finland win to nil looks a good call here.

Expert Tipsters’ Take

Tipsters are backing Finland all the way. The Finns might not rack up a big score, but they should control the game comfortably. Betting experts suggest focusing on Finland to win without conceding, or maybe a correct score of 2-0.

Malta’s lack of attacking punch means the value lies in defensive solidity rather than goals. Punters looking for safe odds could also consider under 2.5 total goals — given both teams’ low-scoring tendencies.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met several times over the years, and Finland have dominated every encounter. The reverse fixture ended 1-0 in Finland’s favor, continuing a long trend of Finnish superiority.

Malta haven’t scored against Finland in any of their last four meetings apart from a lone goal in a friendly years back. Statistically, it’s a fixture that just doesn’t suit the Maltese — Finland’s organization and strength at the back always seem to shut them down.

Wide Betting Market Coverage

When it comes to betting options, this match offers plenty. From traditional 1X2 bets to goal-line markets and correct scores, there’s a wide range to choose from. For those who like safer plays, “Finland to win and under 3.5 goals” might be worth a look — it balances Finland’s solid defense with their lack of scoring flair.

Live betting could also be interesting here, especially if Finland struggle to score early. Malta tend to sit deep, so the first half might be tight before Finland’s pressure tells late on.

No Fixed Matches – Just Honest Predictions

At 100PercentSureWins, we don’t deal with fixed matches — only solid, data-backed predictions. Our insights are based on form, stats, and logical analysis, not gimmicks. So if you’re looking for real tips, not fake promises, you’re in the right place.

Team News

Finland are expected to field a full-strength side, knowing how crucial this match is. Expect key names like Teemu Pukki to lead the attack, with Glen Kamara controlling the midfield. Defensively, Finland have been reliable, and the same backline from recent qualifiers should start again.

For Malta, the squad remains largely the same, though manager Michele Marcolini may shuffle things around to tighten up defensively. Joseph Mbong and Teddy Teuma will be crucial if they want to create anything going forward.

Prediction: Finland 2–0 Malta

This one feels straightforward. Finland need to win, and they’re at home against a team that struggles to score. Expect a professional, no-nonsense performance from the Finns — one goal in each half should seal it.

Malta will likely defend deep and hope for a counter or set-piece chance, but breaking down Finland’s defense seems unlikely. The most realistic call? Finland win to nil, 2-0 final score.

Players to Watch

Teemu Pukki (Finland): The veteran striker remains Finland’s main man up front. His movement and finishing could make the difference again.
Glen Kamara (Finland): The engine in midfield, Kamara’s control of the game tempo will be vital.
Teddy Teuma (Malta): Malta’s most creative player, though often isolated. If they’re to score, it’ll probably come through him.

Betting Tips

Finland to win to nil – Malta rarely score, and Finland’s defense is steady.
Under 2.5 goals – Both sides struggle for goals; this could be another low-scoring match.
Correct Score: Finland 2-0 – The logical result based on form and past meetings.
Half-Time/Full-Time: Finland/Finland – Expect Finland to take control early and see it through.

Wrap Up

Finland can’t afford any slip-ups here, and luckily for them, they’re facing the weakest side in the group. Malta have shown heart but simply lack quality in attack, while Finland’s structure and discipline should be enough to keep their World Cup hopes flickering.

A solid home win looks on the cards, though don’t expect a big scoreline — Finland to win 2-0 feels about right.