UFC Vegas 106 Predictions: Expert Picks, Betting Insights & Full Fight Card Breakdown
UFC Vegas 106 delivered an action-packed night on May 17, 2025, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Headlined by a welterweight clash between Gilbert Burns and Michael Morales, the event featured a mix of veteran grit and rising talent. For bettors and MMA enthusiasts, understanding the nuances of each matchup was crucial for making informed wagers.
📊 Quick Wiki Data Table: UFC Vegas 106 Predictions
| Event Name | UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales (UFC Vegas 106) |
|---|---|
| Date | May 17, 2025 |
| Venue | UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada, USA |
| Main Event | Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales |
| Co-Main Event | Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato |
| Notable Fighters | Luana Santos, Tainara Lisboa, Julian Erosa |
| Bonus Awards | Fight of the Night: Costa vs. Erosa |
| Performance of the Night: Michael Morales, Denise Gomes | |
| Official UFC Page | UFC Vegas 106 |
| Wikipedia Page | UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales |
🥊 Main Event Breakdown: Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales
Fighter Profiles
Gilbert Burns
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Record: 22-7
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Fighting Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Black Belt, powerful striking
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Recent Performance: Three consecutive losses against top-tier opponents
Michael Morales
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Record: 18-0
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Fighting Style: Explosive striker with solid takedown defense
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Recent Performance: First-round knockout of Neil Magny
Betting Analysis
Morales entered the bout as a -150 favorite, reflecting his undefeated streak and recent knockout victories. Burns, despite his experience, was a +575 underdog due to his recent losses. Bettors were advised to consider Morales winning in over 1.5 rounds at -195 odds, anticipating a measured approach from the younger fighter.
⚔️ Co-Main Event: Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato
Fighter Profiles
Paul Craig
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Record: 17-8-1
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Fighting Style: Submission specialist with notable wins under pressure
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Recent Performance: Three consecutive losses
Rodolfo Bellato
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Record: 12-1-1
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Fighting Style: Aggressive striker with a high finishing rate
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Recent Performance: Draw against Jimmy Crute
Betting Analysis
Bellato was a -550 favorite, but the odds were considered wide given Craig’s history of upsets. Bettors were encouraged to explore round props, such as the fight starting Round 2 at -144, over 1.5 rounds at +118, and the fight going the distance at +400.
👩🦰 Women’s Bantamweight Bout: Luana Santos vs. Tainara Lisboa
Fighter Profiles
Luana Santos
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Age: 25
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Background: Returning to bantamweight after battling Hashimoto’s disease
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Motivation: Sees the division as a shortcut to a title fight
Tainara Lisboa
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Age: 34
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Background: Returning after a nearly three-year hiatus due to a severe knee injury
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Motivation: Aims to prove resilience and return to elite competition.
Betting Analysis
This matchup was considered evenly matched, with bettors advised to consider the fighters’ motivations and recent histories when placing wagers.
🔥 Other Notable Fights and Predictions
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Julian Erosa vs. Melquizael Costa: Awarded Fight of the Night, indicating a closely contested and entertaining bout.
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Denise Gomes: Earned Performance of the Night, suggesting a dominant victory.
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Elise Reed: Considered a value play with odds of +800 for a decision win.
📚 FAQs: UFC Vegas 106 Predictions
Q: What were the main betting insights for UFC Vegas 106?
A: Key insights included favoring Michael Morales to win in over 1.5 rounds and exploring round props in the Craig vs. Bellato fight.
Q: Which fighters received bonus awards?
A: Fight of the Night went to Melquizael Costa vs. Julian Erosa, while Performance of the Night was awarded to Michael Morales and Denise Gomes.
Q: Where can I find more detailed information about UFC Vegas 106?
A: You can visit the official UFC event page or the Wikipedia page for comprehensive details.